Qicheng Co., Ltd.: Leading the Global Precipitated Silica Market with Innovative Solutions for High-End Transformation and Growth

Created on 10.04
Leading Enterprise in Precipitated Silica: Qicheng Co., Ltd. Rides the Trend for High-End Transformation and Growth

First Coverage Report

Source: Wind, Yongxing Securities Research Institute (December 16, 2024 closing price; Report release date: December 19, 2024)

Core Viewpoints

As a leader in China’s precipitated silica industry, Qicheng Co., Ltd. is well-positioned for high-end transformation and growth. The company is a leading enterprise in China’s precipitated silica sector, with a complete industrial chain from raw materials (sulfuric acid, sodium silicate) to the final product (precipitated silica). It is also one of the world’s largest producers of high-dispersion silica for green tires and silica for animal nutrition carriers . In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 379 million, a year-on-year increase of about 24.34%. With the accelerated commissioning of new production capacity and high-value-added products, there is significant room for future performance growth .
Production process of precipitated silica with raw materials and final products.
Green tires are gaining momentum, and the precipitated silica industry maintains a positive outlook. As a dedicated material for green tires, high-dispersion silica reduces rolling resistance by approximately 30% compared to carbon black and can replace carbon black to a greater extent. Benefiting from the rapid development of the automotive industry and the greening trend in tire production, demand for silica for tires is expected to continue rising. Beyond tire applications, demand in other fields such as silicone rubber and toothpaste is also on the upswing . Globally, high-end application areas of precipitated silica are mainly dominated by large multinational chemical enterprises, creating room for domestic substitution .
The company’s global layout highlights its scale advantages, and technological leadership supports high-end transformation. As China’s largest producer of precipitated silica, it has an annual production capacity of 330,000 tons. With the gradual commissioning of fund-raising projects and the second phase of its Thai plant, the company will add 100,000 tons of new capacity. On this basis, it is also actively seeking opportunities to build new production bases overseas to advance its global layout . Meanwhile, the company emphasizes R&D-driven development, using its technology platform to actively develop a variety of silica products. For instance, silica for oral care and high-dispersion silica derived from biomass (rice husks) have already achieved mass commercial supply. Additionally, the company plans to construct a project for high-end products such as 3,044 tons/year silica microspheres, which is expected to realize domestic substitution of such products, enhance product added value, and further unlock growth potential .

Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation

We believe Qicheng, as one of the global leaders in precipitated silica, continues to advance domestic and overseas production capacity layout, expanding its scale advantages. Simultaneously, the company has built a technology platform for silica products and accelerated the implementation of high-end projects such as silica microspheres, promising strong future growth . We predict the company’s net profit attributable to shareholders will reach RMB 503 million, RMB 613 million, and RMB 711 million in 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 15x, 12x, and 10x (based on the closing price on December 16). We initiate coverage with a "Buy" rating .
Projected growth in the precipitated silica market with charts and graphs.

Risk Reminders

  • Raw material price fluctuation risk
Risks associated with precipitated silica production illustrated in an infographic.
  • Exchange rate fluctuation risk
  • Work safety risk

Profit Forecast and Valuation

Indicator
Unit
2023A
2024E
2025E
2026E
Operating Revenue
RMB million
1,810
2,193
2,516
2,841
YoY Growth
%
3.7%
21.2%
14.7%
12.9%
Net Profit (Attributable to Parent)
RMB million
413
503
613
711
YoY Growth (Net Profit)
%
8.4%
21.9%
21.9%
16.0%
EPS
RMB
0.99
1.21
1.47
1.71
P/E Ratio
X
14.78
14.51
11.91
10.27
ROE
%
13.8%
15.2%
16.4%
17.0%
*Source: Wind, Yongxing Securities Research Institute (December 16, 2024 closing price) *

Basic Data

Indicator
Value
Closing Price (Dec 16)
RMB 17.55
12-Month A-Share Price Range
RMB 9.81-20.09
Total Share Capital
415.88 million shares
Tradable A-Shares/Total Share Capital
100.00%
Tradable Market Value
RMB 7.299 billion
*Source: Wind, Yongxing Securities Research Institute *

Analyst Statement

The analyst(s) signing this report hold the qualification for securities investment consulting granted by the Securities Association of China and are registered as securities analysts. They have issued this report independently and objectively with a diligent and responsible professional attitude and a professional and prudent research method. The information used in this report is obtained from compliant channels, and the analysts bear responsibility for the content and views of this report. All researchers responsible for preparing and writing this report hereby confirm that any views expressed in this report clearly, accurately, and truthfully reflect their views and conclusions and are not influenced or instructed by any third party. In addition, no part of the researchers’ compensation has been, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendation or view in this report .

Important Disclosure

Within the scope permitted by law, Yongxing Securities Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "the Company") or its affiliated institutions may hold securities or options of the company mentioned in the report and conduct transactions, and may also provide or seek to provide investment banking, financial advisory, and financial product services for these companies. Therefore, investors should consider the potential conflicts of interest that may affect the objectivity of the views in this report and should not regard this report as the sole reference for investment or other decisions. Investors should also not replace their own analysis and judgment with the investment rating of the analyst .
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