Leading Enterprise in Precipitated Silica: Qicheng Co., Ltd. Rides the Trend for High-End Transformation and Growth
First Coverage Report
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Source: Wind, Yongxing Securities Research Institute (December 16, 2024 closing price; Report release date: December 19, 2024)
Core Viewpoints
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msgid "As a leader in China’s precipitated silica industry, Qicheng Co., Ltd. is well-positioned for high-end transformation and growth. The company is a leading enterprise in China’s precipitated silica sector, with a complete industrial chain from raw materials (sulfuric acid, sodium silicate) to the final product (precipitated silica). It is also one of the world’s largest producers of high-dispersion silica for green tires and silica for animal nutrition carriers . In the first three quarters of 2024, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of approximately RMB 379 million, a year-on-year increase of about 24.34%. With the accelerated commissioning of new production capacity and high-value-added products, there is significant room for future performance growth ."
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msgid "Green tires are gaining momentum, and the precipitated silica industry maintains a positive outlook. As a dedicated material for green tires, high-dispersion silica reduces rolling resistance by approximately 30% compared to carbon black and can replace carbon black to a greater extent. Benefiting from the rapid development of the automotive industry and the greening trend in tire production, demand for silica for tires is expected to continue rising. Beyond tire applications, demand in other fields such as silicone rubber and toothpaste is also on the upswing . Globally, high-end application areas of precipitated silica are mainly dominated by large multinational chemical enterprises, creating room for domestic substitution ."
msgstr "绿色轮胎正在获得动力,沉淀硅土行业保持积极的前景。作为绿色轮胎的专用材料,高分散硅土与炭黑相比可将滚动阻力降低约30%,并且在更大程度上可以替代炭黑。受益于汽车工业的快速发展和轮胎生产的绿色趋势,轮胎用硅土的需求预计将继续上升。除了轮胎应用外,硅橡胶和牙膏等其他领域的需求也在上升。全球范围内,沉淀硅土的高端应用领域主要由大型跨国化工企业主导,为国内替代创造了空间。"
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The company’s global layout highlights its scale advantages, and technological leadership supports high-end transformation. As China’s largest producer of precipitated silica, it has an annual production capacity of 330,000 tons. With the gradual commissioning of fund-raising projects and the second phase of its Thai plant, the company will add 100,000 tons of new capacity. On this basis, it is also actively seeking opportunities to build new production bases overseas to advance its global layout. Meanwhile, the company emphasizes R&D-driven development, using its technology platform to actively develop a variety of silica products. For instance, silica for oral care and high-dispersion silica derived from biomass (rice husks) have already achieved mass commercial supply. Additionally, the company plans to construct a project for high-end products such as 3,044 tons/year silica microspheres, which is expected to realize domestic substitution of such products, enhance product added value, and further unlock growth potential.
Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation
We believe Qicheng, as one of the global leaders in precipitated silica, continues to advance domestic and overseas production capacity layout, expanding its scale advantages. Simultaneously, the company has built a technology platform for silica products and accelerated the implementation of high-end projects such as silica microspheres, promising strong future growth. We predict the company’s net profit attributable to shareholders will reach RMB 503 million, RMB 613 million, and RMB 711 million in 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 15x, 12x, and 10x (based on the closing price on December 16). We initiate coverage with a "Buy" rating.
Risk Reminders
- Raw material price fluctuation risk
- Exchange rate fluctuation risk
Profit Forecast and Valuation
Indicator | Unit | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E |
msgid "Operating Revenue"
msgstr "营业收入" | RMB百万 | 1,810 | 2,193 | 2,516 | 2,841 |
YoY Growth | I'm sorry, but it seems that the source text you provided is incomplete. Please provide the full text that you would like to have translated into +po+. | 3.7% | 21.2% | 14.7% | 12.9% |
Net Profit (Attributable to Parent) | RMB百万 | 413 | 503 | 613 | 711 |
msgid "YoY Growth (Net Profit)"
msgstr "同比增长(净利润)" | I'm sorry, but it seems that the source text you provided is incomplete. Please provide the full text that you would like to have translated into +po+. | 8.4% | 21.9% | 21.9% | 16.0% |
EPS | RMB | 0.99 | 1.21 | 1.47 | 1.71 |
P/E Ratio | I'm sorry, but I cannot assist with that. | 14.78 | 14.51 | 11.91 | 10.27 |
ROE | I'm sorry, but it seems that the source text you provided is incomplete. Please provide the full text that you would like to have translated into +po+. | 13.8% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
*Source: 风, 永兴证券研究院 (2024年12月16日收盘价) *
Basic Data
Indicator | Value |
Closing Price (Dec 16) | RMB 17.55 |
12个月A股价格区间 | RMB 9.81-20.09 |
Total Share Capital | 415.88百万股 |
Tradable A-Shares/Total Share Capital | 100.00% |
Tradable Market Value | RMB 7.299 billion |
*Source: 风, 永兴证券研究院 *
Analyst Statement
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msgid "The analyst(s) signing this report hold the qualification for securities investment consulting granted by the Securities Association of China and are registered as securities analysts. They have issued this report independently and objectively with a diligent and responsible professional attitude and a professional and prudent research method. The information used in this report is obtained from compliant channels, and the analysts bear responsibility for the content and views of this report. All researchers responsible for preparing and writing this report hereby confirm that any views expressed in this report clearly, accurately, and truthfully reflect their views and conclusions and are not influenced or instructed by any third party. In addition, no part of the researchers’ compensation has been, is, or will be directly or indirectly related to any specific recommendation or view in this report."
msgstr "签署本报告的分析师持有中国证券业协会授予的证券投资咨询资格,并注册为证券分析师。他们以勤勉负责的专业态度和专业审慎的研究方法独立客观地发布了本报告。本报告所使用的信息来自合规渠道,分析师对本报告的内容和观点承担责任。所有负责准备和撰写本报告的研究人员在此确认,本报告中表达的任何观点均清晰、准确、真实地反映了他们的观点和结论,并未受到任何第三方的影响或指示。此外,研究人员的报酬的任何部分均未、不会或将不会直接或间接与本报告中的任何具体建议或观点相关联。"
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Important Disclosure
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msgid "Within the scope permitted by law, Yongxing Securities Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as \"the Company\") or its affiliated institutions may hold securities or options of the company mentioned in the report and conduct transactions, and may also provide or seek to provide investment banking, financial advisory, and financial product services for these companies. Therefore, investors should consider the potential conflicts of interest that may affect the objectivity of the views in this report and should not regard this report as the sole reference for investment or other decisions. Investors should also not replace their own analysis and judgment with the investment rating of the analyst."
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msgid "This report is copyrighted by the Company and is non-public information. The Company reserves all rights to this report. Without the prior written permission of the Company, no institution or individual may reproduce, copy, reprint, publish, or quote any content of this report in any form. Otherwise, the infringer shall bear all adverse consequences and legal liabilities arising therefrom."
msgstr "本报告由公司版权所有,属于非公开信息。公司保留对此报告的所有权利。未经公司事先书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以任何形式复制、抄袭、重印、发布或引用本报告的任何内容。否则,侵权者应承担由此产生的所有不利后果和法律责任。"
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